The recent decline in Bitcoin’s price has not only affected the overall cryptocurrency market but has also had a significant impact on the spot Bitcoin ETF market. Data from BitMEX Research has revealed that BTC ETFs have been experiencing negative netflows for the past four trading sessions. This downward trend has been particularly noticeable in large outflows from Grayscale’s GBTC and record low inflows for other market leaders such as BlackRock’s IBIT and Fidelity’s FBTC.
Despite the ongoing decline in netflows, there is a glimmer of hope as Ki Young Ju, a well-known analyst and CEO at Cryptoquant, has predicted a possible resurgence in the spot Bitcoin ETF market. Ju pointed out that historical trends suggest that demand for Bitcoin ETFs tends to increase when the cryptocurrency approaches certain support levels. In fact, new BTC whales, especially ETF buyers, have been observed to have an on-chain cost basis of around $56,000.
The current price of Bitcoin has been fluctuating between $62,000 and $68,000 in the past week. However, Ju believes that a further decline is possible, as price corrections typically see a maximum drawdown of 30%. Based on Bitcoin’s recent high of $73,750, the analyst predicts that the asset price could drop as low as $51,000. As of now, Bitcoin is trading at $64,065.74, with a decline of 3.73% in the last 24 hours and 7.17% in the last week.
Given historical trends of the bull cycle, there is a possibility that Bitcoin may have already reached its price peak leading up to the halving event in April. If this is indeed the case, Bitcoin may not return to previous high price levels anytime soon and could potentially experience further price drops in the coming weeks. It is important for investors to be cautious and conduct thorough research before making any investment decisions, as the market remains volatile and unpredictable.
The recent decline in Bitcoin’s price has had a significant impact on the spot Bitcoin ETF market, leading to negative netflows and decreased investor confidence. However, there is optimism for a potential resurgence in the market, especially if Bitcoin reaches certain support levels. Investors should remain vigilant and stay informed about market trends and potential risks to make informed decisions about their investments in the cryptocurrency space.
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